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Red30
99919.1
313225.9
91449.4
Blue54
758310.4
59881.7
743321.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453202060801001201401603054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.9
24.223.3
Auto12.4
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 4.5
21.31.6
19.020.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Second
9144
#16
9.40.9
9.78.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 1.0
7583
#20
10.41.6
9.611.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Third
9991
#21
9.11.4
7.05.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 7.4
5988
#10
1.71.6
1.63.2
Auto0.0
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed