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Red43
477422.2
55645.4
643413.1
Blue18
99858.2
64765.8
99887.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46140204060801004318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#15
22.20.1
22.222.1
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 14.0
9985
#24
8.20.1
6.76.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Second
13.10.1
12.112.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 5.9
9988
#22
7.30.1
4.74.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
5564
#14
5.40.1
3.13.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
blue by 0.4
6476
#19
5.80.1
5.55.6
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed