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Red44
47394.7
861328.7
99868.9
Blue77
461341.2
99887.3
533111.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447101001502004477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.4
29.929.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End2.0
blue by 12.5
41.20.8
45.246.0
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
8.90.6
8.78.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 2.5
11.40.8
10.511.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
4739
#18
4.70.4
4.13.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 2.6
9988
#22
7.31.3
4.86.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed