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Red20
99905.0
650816.6
587610.5
Blue60
64765.8
598511.6
743321.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039203050602060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6508
#13
16.61.1
19.718.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
blue by 4.7
21.30.2
20.620.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Second
5876
#12
10.51.1
12.211.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 1.1
5985
#11
11.60.2
10.610.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
9990
#23
5.01.8
4.12.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
blue by 0.8
6476
#19
5.80.2
5.65.8
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned