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Qual 252024 Duel Down Under
Red61
861328.7
91449.4
477422.2
Blue50
758310.4
651022.9
533111.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71480204060801001206150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#2
28.70.3
29.9→29.6
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 5.8
6510
#3
22.90.4
23.3→22.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
4774
#15
22.20.3
22.1→21.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 10.8
5331
#6
11.40.4
11.7→11.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
9144
#16
9.40.3
8.5→8.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 1.0
7583
#20
10.40.4
10.4→10.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed