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Red70
461341.2
598511.6
47297.5
Blue45
55645.4
743321.3
313225.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70530204060801001201401607045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.4
45.945.5
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
red by 15.3
25.90.3
25.325.0
Auto12.4
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
5985
#11
11.60.4
10.19.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 9.8
21.30.3
20.720.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
7.50.4
5.34.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
red by 2.1
5564
#14
5.40.3
3.53.2
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed