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Red33
99887.3
587610.5
47394.7
Blue44
650816.6
99924.8
643413.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242060801003344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5876
#12
10.50.8
10.411.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 6.1
6508
#13
16.60.5
18.819.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
9988
#22
7.31.3
7.78.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 5.9
13.10.5
12.613.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
4739
#18
4.70.8
3.74.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Level
9992
#17
4.80.8
5.26.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed