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Red48
477422.2
598511.6
55645.4
Blue55
533111.4
91449.4
743321.3
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060801004855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#15
22.20.9
21.822.7
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 0.9
21.30.7
20.421.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Second
5985
#11
11.60.9
9.810.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 0.2
11.40.7
11.312.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
5564
#14
5.40.9
3.24.1
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
blue by 4.0
9144
#16
9.40.7
8.28.9
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed