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Red67
64765.8
461341.2
861328.7
Blue40
99858.2
47297.5
99919.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031501506740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.21.2
45.544.3
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
red by 32.1
9991
#21
9.11.3
6.37.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Second
28.71.2
29.628.4
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End2.0
red by 20.5
9985
#24
8.21.3
6.17.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Third
6476
#19
5.81.2
5.54.3
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.0
blue by 1.7
7.50.8
4.95.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed