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Red78
643413.1
651022.9
587610.5
Blue22
758310.4
99868.9
99887.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562802040801001207822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
22.923.6
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 12.5
7583
#20
10.40.4
10.19.7
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Second
13.10.7
13.113.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
red by 4.2
8.90.6
9.08.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
5876
#12
10.50.7
11.111.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
red by 3.3
9988
#22
7.30.6
8.98.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed