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Red40
743321.3
99887.3
99924.8
Blue51
99868.9
99905.0
313225.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404020253035455055604051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.1
21.120.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 4.5
25.90.6
25.626.2
Auto12.4
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
9988
#22
7.31.6
8.36.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 1.6
8.90.9
8.49.3
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Third
9992
#17
4.81.6
7.05.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 0.3
9990
#23
5.00.9
3.03.9
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed