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Red46
47394.7
477422.2
651022.9
Blue39
59881.7
650816.6
461341.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions537902040601001201404639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.4
23.623.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 18.3
41.22.6
44.341.6
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
4774
#15
22.20.4
22.722.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
red by 5.6
6508
#13
16.62.6
19.917.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Third
4739
#18
4.70.4
4.33.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
red by 3.0
5988
#10
1.72.6
4.41.7
Auto0.0
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsEarned