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Red7
99924.8
99905.0
55645.4
Blue27
99919.1
99868.9
477422.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510406080100120140160727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5564
#14
5.41.2
3.52.3
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
blue by 16.8
4774
#15
22.21.3
25.524.2
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Second
9990
#23
5.01.7
9.37.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
blue by 4.0
9991
#21
9.11.9
9.37.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
9992
#17
4.81.7
9.37.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 4.1
8.91.9
9.37.4
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed