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Red43
91449.4
64765.8
651022.9
Blue48
743321.3
461341.2
643413.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311010501504348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.3
22.022.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 18.3
41.22.3
47.144.8
Auto13.4
Teleop26.1
End1.7
Second
9144
#16
9.40.3
8.89.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 11.9
21.32.6
21.919.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
6476
#19
5.80.4
5.15.5
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.0
blue by 7.3
13.12.3
13.911.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed