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Red29
99924.8
99919.1
758310.4
Blue40
99887.3
55645.4
650816.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223004060801001202940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7583
#20
10.40.0
9.59.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.9
End2.0
blue by 6.3
6508
#13
16.60.6
20.020.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Second
9991
#21
9.10.1
7.47.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 1.8
9988
#22
7.31.0
4.25.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
Third
9992
#17
4.80.1
7.77.6
Auto2.5
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 0.7
5564
#14
5.40.6
2.32.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed