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Red33
47297.5
47394.7
99868.9
Blue28
99905.0
533111.4
477422.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14530204060801001201403328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.90.5
7.47.9
Auto5.9
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 13.3
4774
#15
22.21.4
24.222.8
Auto9.1
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Second
7.50.3
4.44.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 3.9
11.41.6
12.711.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
4739
#18
4.70.3
5.05.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 0.3
9990
#23
5.02.4
7.75.3
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed