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Red75
91449.4
643413.1
59881.7
Blue34
99858.2
743321.3
587610.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2146060801001201401607534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.5
11.612.1
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.0
blue by 8.2
21.30.3
19.319.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Second
9144
#16
9.40.5
9.19.7
Auto4.4
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 1.1
5876
#12
10.50.3
12.111.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.8
End1.6
Third
5988
#10
1.70.5
1.11.6
Auto0.0
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 6.5
9985
#24
8.20.5
7.26.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed