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Red19
453713.5
914612.4
77387.7
Blue28
88441.9
75839.8
91449.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33311520253540451928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#13
13.51.2
9.98.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
red by 3.7
7583
#31
9.80.6
10.09.5
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Second
9146
#37
12.41.2
10.49.2
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 3.3
9144
#22
9.00.6
9.89.2
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Third
7738
#35
7.71.2
9.18.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
red by 5.8
8844
#47
1.90.6
8.37.8
Auto0.3
Teleop1.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed