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Red63
959916.8
743322.9
650820.6
Blue32
533113.3
648713.8
95878.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3930102050606332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.93.2
13.016.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 9.1
6487
#28
13.81.2
9.17.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Second
20.63.2
11.815.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 7.3
5331
#25
13.31.2
9.98.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Third
9599
#24
16.84.4
16.812.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 8.6
9587
#36
8.10.2
8.17.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsEarned