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Red49
478817.9
91894.9
558425.4
Blue31
749711.7
699616.7
943310.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353210203040504931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.4
12.814.2
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
red by 8.8
6996
#14
16.70.2
10.610.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
4788
#12
17.91.4
10.712.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 6.3
7497
#43
11.70.2
9.810.0
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
9189
#32
4.91.4
8.09.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 5.3
9433
#16
10.20.9
10.29.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed