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Red22
598512.2
608315.8
850311.9
Blue90
801132.6
957412.1
477425.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363902060801001202290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#33
15.81.3
9.98.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 16.8
32.65.0
13.518.5
Auto17.1
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Second
5985
#23
12.21.3
12.911.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 13.3
25.55.0
12.517.4
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
8503
#18
11.90.8
10.59.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9574
#15
12.12.0
12.114.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed