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Red42
749711.7
942711.6
75839.8
Blue56
425320.2
743322.9
598512.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25500204060801004256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7497
#43
11.70.7
10.010.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 11.2
22.90.8
16.217.0
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Second
9427
#20
11.60.7
6.16.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
blue by 8.6
20.20.5
14.114.5
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
7583
#31
9.80.7
9.510.2
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
blue by 2.4
5985
#23
12.20.8
11.712.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed