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Red51
313222.6
643414.1
957412.1
Blue54
651022.9
699616.7
959916.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4243354045505154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
22.60.6
14.314.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 0.3
22.91.7
15.817.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
6434
#38
14.10.6
10.110.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 2.7
9599
#24
16.81.7
12.414.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
9574
#15
12.10.6
14.114.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
blue by 4.5
6996
#14
16.71.7
10.812.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed