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Red5
97153.2
64765.3
77387.7
Blue32
850311.9
943310.2
587614.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2529020406080100532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7738
#35
7.72.0
8.06.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
blue by 6.4
5876
#10
14.10.7
7.07.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Second
6476
#29
5.32.0
5.83.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 6.6
8503
#18
11.90.4
9.710.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
9715
#45
3.22.0
9.57.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 7.1
9433
#16
10.20.7
9.310.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned