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Red4
59882.5
941110.6
91894.9
Blue52
71287.4
648713.8
481710.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312910204050452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9411
#26
10.62.7
9.16.5
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 3.2
6487
#28
13.82.6
7.910.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Second
9189
#32
4.92.7
9.46.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 5.8
4817
#11
10.71.9
8.110.0
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
5988
#44
2.52.7
9.46.8
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 4.9
7128
#39
7.42.6
10.513.1
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed