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Red82
461343.1
881425.8
533113.3
Blue17
55643.5
95878.1
47295.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7521040601001208217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.5
36.938.4
Auto16.0
Teleop24.4
End2.7
red by 34.9
9587
#36
8.12.2
7.95.7
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Second
25.82.1
15.817.9
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 20.8
4729
#27
5.02.2
9.16.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Third
5331
#25
13.32.1
8.710.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
red by 9.8
5564
#40
3.52.2
8.25.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed