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Red46
477425.5
743322.9
61915.1
Blue45
643414.1
453713.5
749711.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47320204060801004645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#5Sur
25.50.6
18.819.3
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 11.4
6434
#38Sur
14.10.8
10.711.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Second
22.90.6
17.017.5
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End1.2
red by 9.3
4537
#13
13.50.8
9.19.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Third
6191
#41
5.10.6
5.35.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
blue by 6.5
7497
#43
11.70.8
10.711.5
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed