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Red48
91449.0
313222.6
699616.7
Blue24
97153.2
598512.2
478817.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45350204060801004824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
22.60.9
14.915.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 4.6
4788
#12
17.91.0
13.412.3
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Second
6996
#14
16.70.9
12.413.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
red by 4.5
5985
#23
12.21.0
12.411.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
9144
#22Sur
9.00.9
12.413.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 5.9
9715
#45Sur
3.21.0
7.46.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed