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Red39
91449.0
608315.8
743322.9
Blue68
651022.9
425320.2
91894.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44434045505560653968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.6
17.516.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End1.2
Level
22.93.2
17.320.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
6083
#33
15.80.6
8.78.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 4.4
20.21.9
15.917.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
9144
#22
9.00.6
13.412.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 4.1
9189
#32
4.93.2
5.99.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed