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Red49
942711.6
643211.7
313222.6
Blue31
481710.7
533113.3
941110.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37270102050604931

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
22.61.6
15.817.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 9.2
5331
#25
13.30.5
7.87.3
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Second
6432
#19
11.71.6
7.99.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 0.9
4817
#11
10.70.3
9.69.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
9427
#20
11.61.6
8.810.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
red by 1.0
9411
#26
10.60.5
8.57.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed