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Red5
71287.4
850311.9
96167.8
Blue78
943310.2
77387.7
461343.1
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32620204080100578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8503
#18
11.91.9
9.88.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 31.2
43.11.0
38.839.8
Auto16.0
Teleop24.4
End2.7
Second
9616
#30
7.83.1
8.45.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
blue by 2.4
9433
#16
10.21.7
9.311.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Third
7128
#39
7.43.1
14.611.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 0.3
7738
#35
7.71.7
4.86.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned