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Red37
650820.6
97153.2
91894.9
Blue63
477425.5
453713.5
425320.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32530204060801003763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.5
17.817.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 4.8
25.51.4
19.320.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
9189
#32
4.90.5
9.18.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 15.3
20.20.8
17.818.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
9715
#45
3.20.5
4.74.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
blue by 10.4
4537
#13
13.51.4
8.59.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed