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Red37
643414.1
533113.3
56485.5
Blue62
608315.8
941110.6
801132.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060801003762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6434
#38
14.10.9
13.514.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 18.5
32.62.2
26.028.2
Auto17.1
Teleop11.7
End3.8
Second
5331
#25
13.30.9
7.38.2
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
blue by 2.4
6083
#33
15.82.2
8.110.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Third
5648
#42
5.50.9
7.78.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 5.1
9411
#26
10.62.2
7.910.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed