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Red26
481710.7
914713.0
959916.8
Blue34
47295.0
478817.9
850311.9
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412702060802634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9599
#24
16.81.6
15.614.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 1.2
4788
#12
17.90.4
13.112.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Second
9147
#17
13.01.6
10.28.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.1
red by 1.1
8503
#18
11.90.3
8.07.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
4817
#11
10.70.9
9.38.3
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 5.7
4729
#27
5.00.4
4.74.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed