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Red20
71287.4
749711.7
91449.0
Blue69
96167.8
881425.8
477425.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060802069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7497
#43
11.71.7
10.79.1
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 14.2
25.82.0
20.122.1
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9144
#22
9.01.7
12.711.1
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 16.5
25.52.0
20.722.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
7128
#39
7.41.7
11.59.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 0.4
9616
#30
7.82.0
5.37.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed