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Red77
461343.1
650820.6
587614.1
Blue15
914612.4
699616.7
59882.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8224040601001207715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.0
39.839.8
Auto16.0
Teleop24.4
End2.7
red by 26.4
6996
#14
16.71.5
14.112.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
20.60.0
17.317.3
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 8.3
9146
#37
12.41.5
9.47.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
5876
#10
14.10.0
9.79.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 11.6
5988
#44
2.51.5
4.83.3
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed