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Red51
598512.2
881425.8
56485.5
Blue34
650820.6
47395.2
914612.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473001020406070805134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.2
22.123.3
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 5.2
20.60.6
17.317.9
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Second
5985
#23
12.21.2
9.710.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 0.2
9146
#37
12.40.6
7.98.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
5648
#42
5.51.2
8.69.8
Auto3.3
Teleop1.3
End0.9
red by 0.3
4739
#46
5.20.6
3.84.4
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed