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Red64
959916.8
61915.1
478817.9
Blue30
608315.8
97153.2
71287.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4323060806430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#12
17.92.5
14.617.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 2.2
6083
#33
15.80.8
10.411.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Second
9599
#24
16.82.5
13.315.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 9.3
7128
#39
7.40.8
9.19.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End2.2
Third
6191
#41
5.12.5
8.611.1
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 2.0
9715
#45
3.20.8
3.34.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed