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Red57
558425.4
850311.9
75839.8
Blue54
47295.0
650820.6
313222.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454820304060705754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.41.2
23.524.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
red by 2.9
3132
#21
22.61.2
19.821.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
8503
#18
11.90.8
7.68.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 8.7
20.61.2
17.919.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Third
7583
#31
9.81.3
9.610.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 4.8
4729
#27
5.01.2
5.16.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsEarned