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Red66
881425.8
651022.9
650820.6
Blue7
91894.9
47295.0
64765.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8160204060100120140667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.4
23.822.4
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 20.5
6476
#29
5.30.8
2.21.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Second
22.91.4
21.520.1
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End1.9
red by 17.8
4729
#27
5.00.8
6.45.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Third
20.61.4
19.117.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 15.7
9189
#32
4.90.8
6.25.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed