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Red33
59882.5
643414.1
608315.8
Blue41
95878.1
749711.7
313222.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26450204060803341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6083
#33
15.80.7
11.211.9
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 6.8
3132
#21
22.60.3
21.021.3
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
6434
#38
14.10.7
12.713.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
red by 2.4
7497
#43
11.70.3
8.99.1
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
5988
#44
2.50.7
2.02.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 5.6
9587
#36
8.10.3
8.58.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed