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Red3
56485.5
91449.0
61915.1
Blue67
47295.0
558425.4
942711.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3346010204050607080367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9144
#22
9.02.9
12.910.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
blue by 16.4
25.40.7
24.625.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
5648
#42
5.52.9
9.66.7
Auto3.3
Teleop1.3
End0.9
blue by 6.1
9427
#20
11.60.7
9.610.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Third
6191
#41
5.12.9
8.75.8
Auto1.1
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 0.1
4729
#27
5.00.7
5.66.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed