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Red11
77387.7
88441.9
481710.7
Blue58
650820.6
598512.2
643414.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234901030406070801158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4817
#11
10.71.2
10.79.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
blue by 9.9
20.61.6
17.719.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
Second
7738
#35
7.71.7
8.66.9
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
blue by 6.4
6434
#38
14.11.6
13.515.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
8844
#47
1.91.7
4.32.6
Auto0.3
Teleop1.2
End0.4
blue by 10.3
5985
#23
12.21.6
9.811.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed