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Red35
943310.2
648713.8
59882.5
Blue81
881425.8
608315.8
957412.1
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245204060803581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6487
#28
13.81.0
12.113.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 12.1
25.83.1
22.425.5
Auto15.4
Teleop8.3
End2.1
Second
9433
#16
10.21.0
9.910.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
blue by 5.5
6083
#33
15.83.1
11.915.1
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Third
5988
#44
2.51.0
2.73.7
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 9.6
9574
#15
12.13.1
9.312.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed