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Red47
477425.5
91894.9
914713.0
Blue42
96167.8
959916.8
313222.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444820304060704742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.7
25.025.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 2.9
3132
#21
22.60.3
21.321.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
9147
#17
13.00.7
9.710.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.1
blue by 3.8
9599
#24
16.80.3
14.314.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Third
9189
#32
4.90.7
5.46.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
blue by 2.9
9616
#30
7.80.3
7.37.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed