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Red46
756112.2
478817.9
749711.7
Blue53
533113.3
651022.9
64765.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393301020506070804653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#12
17.90.6
15.916.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 4.9
22.92.1
20.122.2
Auto7.9
Teleop13.1
End1.9
Second
7561
#34
12.20.6
9.710.3
Auto6.7
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 1.2
5331
#25
13.32.1
9.311.5
Auto5.8
Teleop6.5
End1.0
Third
7497
#43
11.70.6
9.19.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 6.4
6476
#29
5.32.1
1.43.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed