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Red70
608315.8
481710.7
650820.6
Blue15
91449.0
55643.5
97153.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions541604060801007015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.7
19.420.1
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 11.6
9144
#22
9.01.3
10.08.7
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
Second
6083
#33
15.80.7
15.115.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
red by 12.3
5564
#40
3.51.3
4.83.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.8
Third
4817
#11
10.70.5
9.510.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 7.6
9715
#45
3.21.3
4.53.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed