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Red24
59882.5
47295.0
477425.5
Blue38
942711.6
77387.7
96167.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42250102030506070802438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.51.2
25.724.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 13.9
9427
#20
11.60.8
10.311.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Second
4729
#27
5.01.2
6.35.0
Auto2.4
Teleop0.5
End2.1
blue by 2.8
9616
#30
7.80.8
7.17.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Third
5988
#44
2.51.2
3.72.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 5.2
7738
#35
7.70.8
6.97.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed