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Red53
75839.8
587614.1
478817.9
Blue14
56485.5
95878.1
91894.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45210103040506070805314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#12
17.90.4
16.517.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 9.8
9587
#36
8.11.2
9.38.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.0
End1.6
Second
5876
#10
14.10.4
12.613.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 8.6
5648
#42
5.51.2
6.75.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.3
End0.9
Third
7583
#31
9.80.4
9.09.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 4.9
9189
#32
4.91.2
6.14.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed