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Red55
648713.8
477425.5
91449.0
Blue33
699616.7
643414.1
97153.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54340204060805533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.50.3
24.524.8
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
red by 8.8
6996
#14
16.70.0
15.815.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
Second
6487
#28
13.80.3
13.113.4
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 0.3
6434
#38
14.10.0
14.414.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
9144
#22
9.00.3
8.79.0
Auto5.3
Teleop3.2
End0.5
red by 5.9
9715
#45
3.20.0
3.23.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed